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Earth given 50-50 chance of hitting key warming mark by 2026

Climate Global Temperature 1.5
Posted

(AP) — A new report says there's nearly a 50-50 chance that world will hit a key warming threshold in the next five years.

Monday's World Meteorological Organization forecast says there's a 48% chance that globe will temporarily hit 1.5 degrees Celsius warmer than pre-industrial times by the end of 2026.

The 2015 Paris climate agreement set a goal of not exceeding that temperature level on a long-term average and climate scientists have detailed a host of dangers that worsen after that level of warming.

The forecast also gives a 93% chance that sometime in the next five years, Earth will set a new record for the hottest year.



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Thursday

12/11/2025

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50° / 42°

5%

Friday

12/12/2025

AM Fog/PM Sun

58° / 44°

7%

Saturday

12/13/2025

Partly Cloudy

63° / 45°

5%

Sunday

12/14/2025

Sunny

59° / 43°

4%

Monday

12/15/2025

Mostly Sunny

56° / 44°

5%

Tuesday

12/16/2025

Partly Cloudy

57° / 49°

5%

Wednesday

12/17/2025

Partly Cloudy

59° / 48°

14%

Thursday

12/18/2025

Partly Cloudy

58° / 48°

9%